|   nice biostatistic q 
 
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| Author | 6 Posts |
nadiabarati
| | 04/13/06 - 03:04 PM  
 
   
 
|   #1 |
The probability of Hepatitis B P(D+) in a certain pt population is known to be 0.20 ,conversely P(D-)=0.80 .In a study of new diagnositc test for Hepatitis B, the probability of positive test result among pt's known to have hepatitis B ,P(T+(D+), is shown to be 0.90.,where as probability that healthy pt will have negative result ,P(T-(D-), is shown to be 0.95 .What is the probability that a new pt with a negative test is truly healthy ? A. 0.95 B. 0.95 X 0.80 ( 0.95 X 0.80) +(0.5 X0.80) C. .95 X.20 ( .95 X.80 )+(.90 X 0.20) D. .95 X.80 ( .95 X .80)+(.90 X.20) E.none
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| nadiabarati
| | 04/13/06 - 04:24 PM  
 
   
 
|   #2 |
I think the answer is 76/78 it means E.none
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| robin082006 Forum Hero

Topics: 471 Posts: 5,125
| | 04/14/06 - 01:24 AM  
 
   
 
|   #3 |
This q asls about Negative Predictive Value I have posted the way to calculate it twice in this forum. ANswer is 76/78, so E. ......................Disease .....................Non-Disease..................... Total Positive...........18.............................4...................... ..............22 Negative...........2.............................76 ....................................78 Total...............20.............................80.................... ..............100 NPV=76/68
___________________ The Key to Succeed is Patience.
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| malignant
Topics: 2 Posts: 24
| | 04/25/06 - 10:28 AM  
 
   
 
|   #4 |
Hi Robin, This makes me feel stupid, but still i couldn't figure out how you calculated TP,FP,TN,FN I will really really appreciate if You can explain again please.
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| smal Forum Guru

Topics: 140 Posts: 727
| | 04/28/06 - 12:52 PM  
 
   
 
|   #5 |
i calculated it as 95/98..... see TN is .95 TP is .9.....so FP will be .2-(.2x.9) TN predictive value is TN/TN+FN hence 95/97. comments most welcomed
___________________ remedy for weakness is not brooding over it ,but thinking of strength.
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| smal Forum Guru

Topics: 140 Posts: 727
| | 04/28/06 - 12:52 PM  
 
   
 
|   #6 |
i calculated it as 95/98..... see TN is .95 TP is .9.....so FP will be .2-(.2x.9) TN predictive value is TN/TN+FN hence 95/97. comments most welcomed
___________________ remedy for weakness is not brooding over it ,but thinking of strength.
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