DrVirgo Forum Hero

Topics: 1096 Posts: 3,515
| | 02/24/06 - 07:02 AM  
 
   
 
|   #1 |
16. The table shows survival information for patients who had an operation for a particular form of cancer: Table Patients at the Beginning of the Interval / Patients Who Died During the Interval /Patients Surviving This Interval (%) 0-1 year -500 100 80 1-2 years -400 50 87.5 2-3 years -350 35 90 3-4 years -315 31 90 Based on this information, if a patient survives for 1 year, which of the following is the probability that he or she will survive for 4 years? A. (0.875 - 0.8) X 0.9 = 0.0675 B. 0.8 X 0.875 X 0.9 X 0.9 = 0.567 C. 0.875 X 0.9 = 0.7875 D. 0.875 X 0.9 X 0.9 = 0.7088 E. 0.9 F. 0.9 X 0.875 = 0.025
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| sunshine77 Forum Newbie
Topics: 0 Posts: 24
| | 02/27/06 - 10:42 PM  
 
   
 
|   #2 |
D.
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| robin082006 Forum Hero

Topics: 471 Posts: 5,125
| | 02/28/06 - 12:40 AM  
 
   
 
|   #3 |
D
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| reet Forum Fanatic

Topics: 152 Posts: 1,411
| | 02/28/06 - 07:07 AM  
 
   
 
|   #4 |
Yes D
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| Hotobhaga Forum Elite

Topics: 41 Posts: 180
| | 03/04/06 - 09:27 PM  
 
   
 
|   #5 |
Can anybody explain in detail.
___________________ USMLE preparation is all about discovery. Discovery of your own capabilities....Julia Perch MD (iprep)
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| rthungat Forum Newbie
Topics: 4 Posts: 11
| | 03/08/06 - 09:08 AM  
 
   
 
|   #6 |
yes it is answer d the question is conditional probability what is the prob that the patiest survives for 4 years given he survived the first year so u multiply all the prob divided the given prob for the first yr 0.8*0.87*0.9*0.9/0.8 that gives ans d
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