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Kaplan Qbank USMLE



Author6 Posts
  #1

A man whose brother has cystic fibrosis wants to know his risk of having an affected child . The prevalance of CF is 1 in 1600.. The risk in this case is-
1/8
1/16
1/60
1/120
1/256
pls explain also.

  #2

q2 = 1/1600, q=1/40
q+p=1
2pq = 1/20 - carrier rate in population
the chace of 2 carriers to have having a child with disease is 1/4

Assuming that the man is a carrier himself, his risk of having a child with cystic fibrosis is 1/20 x 1/4 = 1/80

But there is no such answer...so where am I wrong?

  #3

pls some one else?
explain it pls.

  #4

Hardy Weinberg Law baby! I think me, you and the others will have to fight our way thru it! :shock:

___________________
Smell the coffee! "Is That an Osler move??"

  #5

A man whose brother has cystic fibrosis wants to know his risk of having an affected child . The prevalance of CF is 1 in 1600

The mans brother is aa so the parents must be Aa x Aa. The man is either Aa or AA. The probability that he is Aa is thus 2/3.

The prevalance of CF is 1/1600. q2 = 1/1600 so q = 1/40 and p ~ 1. therefore, 2pq = 1/20. Thus, the probability that the man marries a woman who is Aa is 1/20.

The probability that the man (Aa) and this woman (Aa) have an aa child is 1/4

Therefore, the probability all this happens is: 2/3 * 1/20 * 1/4 = 1/120

  #6

Good explanation. Thanks!







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